Why Palisades’ City Section Title Proves Everything Wrong With High School Talent Evaluation

Why Palisades’ City Section Title Proves Everything Wrong With High School Talent Evaluation

The narrative being peddled right now is heartwarming, predictable, and fundamentally flawed. You’ve seen the headlines: "Popoola twins lead Palisades to glory." It’s the kind of story that local news anchors eat up—a biological double-threat, a historic program drought snapped, and the "magic" of chemistry.

If you’re looking for a feel-good recap of the Palisades High boys’ basketball victory over L.A. CES, go find a local newsletter. But if you want to understand why this specific game actually signals a crisis in how we scout and value high school talent, we need to talk about what actually happened on that court.

Palisades didn't win because of some mystical twin telepathy or a "miracle" run. They won because the L.A. City Section Open Division has become a playground where disciplined, tactical mediocrity beats unrefined athleticism every single day. We are celebrating a system that rewards safety over scale, and it’s time to stop pretending this is the "Open Division" elite.

The Myth of Twin Telepathy

Let’s dismantle the biggest trope first. Whenever the Popoola brothers, Ahmad and Ahmard, step on the floor, scouts and commentators lazily lean on the "built-in chemistry" crutch.

Chemistry isn't a bloodline; it’s a byproduct of high-repetition sets. By framing their success as an innate connection, we ignore the actual mechanics of their game. Ahmad isn't finding Ahmard because they shared a womb; he’s finding him because Palisades runs a rigid, high-percentage offensive system that exploits the defensive lapses common in the City Section.

In professional circles, we call this "system inflation." I’ve seen dozens of players dominate at the high school level because they have a high-IQ partner who knows exactly where they’ll be. Then, they get to a D1 camp or a pro-am run, the structure disappears, and they vanish. The Popoolas are effective because they are fundamentally sound in a sea of players who think "highlight reels" are more important than boxing out. That’s not "magic." It’s a damning indictment of the defensive coaching they faced.

The Open Division is Diluting Excellence

The "Open Division" is supposed to represent the absolute pinnacle of prep basketball. It should be a gauntlet of future NBA prospects and five-star recruits. Instead, what we saw in the Palisades-L.A. CES matchup was a tactical chess match between two teams that would struggle to stay within 30 points of a mid-tier Trinity League school.

We have created a "participation trophy" version of elite basketball. By expanding these divisions to include teams that lack genuine size and verticality, the City Section is lying to these kids.

  • Size Disparity: True elite basketball is played above the rim. This game was played in the mid-range and the paint with grounded footwork.
  • Pacing Problems: The "slow and steady" approach that Palisades utilized is a winning strategy for high school trophies, but it’s a career-killer for players with aspirations beyond college.
  • The Scouting Gap: Scouts aren't looking for who won the City Section; they are looking for who can survive a switch against a 6'9" wing with a 7-foot wingspan. Neither team on that floor provided that data point.

Stop Asking if They "Want it More"

"People Also Ask" columns are filled with questions like, "What makes a championship team?" or "How do the Popoola twins stay motivated?"

These are the wrong questions. The right question is: "Why does the L.A. City Section continue to produce fewer and fewer NBA-ready prospects compared to the Southern Section?"

The answer is uncomfortable. It’s because we celebrate the "gritty win" like this one at Palisades instead of demanding a higher standard of play. When you praise a team for "playing the right way" to beat an undersized opponent, you are reinforcing a ceiling.

I’ve watched programs blow their entire developmental budget on travel for tournaments where they just beat up on weaker versions of themselves. Palisades’ win wasn't a "shattering of the status quo"—it was the status quo confirming its own limitations. They played safe, low-risk basketball. It worked. But don't mistake a tactical victory for a talent breakthrough.

The Trap of the "Historic Drought"

Palisades hadn't won a title since 1969. The media loves this. It adds "weight" to the win. But from an insider perspective, a 50-plus year drought isn't a badge of honor or a mountain to be climbed—it’s a sign of systemic stagnation.

💡 You might also like: Shadows on the Pitch

If a program in a talent-rich area like Los Angeles goes five decades without a title, it means the infrastructure failed for generations. One win doesn't fix the plumbing. Celebrating this as a "return to glory" ignores the fact that the competitive "glory" of the City Section has moved elsewhere.

The Brutal Reality for the Popoolas

Ahmad and Ahmard Popoola are exceptional high school basketball players. They are disciplined, they are leaders, and they executed a plan perfectly. But the industry does them a disservice by blowing smoke about their "dominant" performance without context.

If they want to play at the next level, they have to shed the "twin" identity immediately. In the eyes of a college recruiter, being part of a duo is a liability. Can Ahmad lead a floor when his brother is on the bench? Can Ahmard defend a point-forward who doesn't play a predictable, structured game?

The obsession with their partnership actually devalues their individual skill sets. It turns them into a novelty act rather than two distinct prospects. We saw this with the Harrison twins at Kentucky—the "twin" narrative only works until the speed of the game requires you to be a solo killer.

The Strategy for True Dominance

If you want to actually "disrupt" the high school basketball landscape, stop looking at the scoreboard.

  1. Kill the System: If you’re a coach, stop running sets that rely on your two best players being comfortable with each other. Break them apart. Force them to develop chemistry with the worst player on the bench.
  2. Ignore the Section: The City Section title is a nice piece of plastic for the trophy case. It is meaningless for a player’s resume if it isn't backed up by performance against national-circuit teams.
  3. Physicality Over IQ: You can teach a kid to read a screen. You can’t teach a 6'2" guard how to finish over a 7-footer unless you force them into those matchups daily.

Palisades won because they were the best team in a localized bubble. That is an objective fact. But let’s stop acting like this win is a blueprint for the future of the sport. It’s a throwback. It’s a postcard from an era where "playing hard" was enough to get you noticed.

In the modern era, if you aren't disrupting the physical geometry of the court, you’re just a footnote in a local paper. The Popoolas have the hardware, but the real test starts when the "twin" narrative is stripped away and they're forced to stand on their own.

Stop celebrating the drought. Start questioning why the well was dry for so long in the first place.

JG

John Green

Drawing on years of industry experience, John Green provides thoughtful commentary and well-sourced reporting on the issues that shape our world.